vg|14th Red Bull WBS-Rosenblum-BBO2,SW 5_8,I,1,7,SOUTH AFRICA,0,ZAWADA,0|
rs|3NE=,3NW-2,3HW+1,2HW+1,3CS=,4HN-2,3NS-1,2SS+3,3HS=,4HS=,6CW=,7CW=,3SN+1,2NN+1|
pn|BOSENBERG,KALITA,EBEL,NOWOSADZKI,STRZEMCKI,APTEKER,ZAWADA,GOWER|pg||
qx|o1|st||md|3SKJ7HAJ8765DA9C76,SAQ2HK32DQTCJ8532,ST643H9D87543CKT9,S985HQT4DKJ62CAQ4|sv|o|mb|p|mb|1D|mb|1H|mb|1S!|mb|p|mb|1N|mb|p|mb|3N|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|pc|h7|pc|h2|pc|h9|pc|hT|pg||
pc|d6|pc|d9|pc|dQ|pc|d3|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  This contract will pose little problem for East|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  Little difficulty :)|pg||
nt|pelu:  but with @hs 6-1 he will easy survive|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  Although concerns, all lies well . . .. probably working on @c's now is best|pg||
pc|c2|pc|c9|pc|cQ|pc|c6|pg||
nt|pelu:  yes play @cQ|pg||
pc|d2|pc|dA|pc|dT|pc|d4|pg||
pc|sJ|pc|sQ|pc|s4|pc|s5|pg||
pc|c3|pc|cT|pc|cA|pc|c7|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  Running Scores: http://www.worldbridge.org/repository/tourn/sanya.14/microsite/RunningScores/Asp/RoundTeamsConditStatClassicMod.asp?qtournid=1031&qshowflag=1|pg||
pc|dK|pc|h5|pc|s2|pc|d5|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  So 9 tricks now in the bag|pg||
pc|c4|pc|hJ|pc|c5|pc|cK|pg||
pc|s3|nt|TopWizard:  Holding it to -400|pg||
mc|10|pg||
qx|c1|st||md|3SKJ7HAJ8765DA9C76,SAQ2HK32DQTCJ8532,ST643H9D87543CKT9,S985HQT4DKJ62CAQ4|sv|o|mb|p|mb|1D|mb|1H|mb|2C|mb|p|mb|3C|mb|p|mb|3N|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|pc|h9|pc|hQ|pc|hA|pc|h3|pg||
pc|sJ|pc|sQ|pc|s3|pc|s5|pg||
pc|c5|pc|c9|pc|cQ|pc|c6|pg||
pc|d2|pc|dA|pc|dQ|pc|d8|pg||
pc|sK|pc|sA|pc|s4|pc|s8|pg||
pc|dT|pc|d7|pc|d6|pc|d9|pg||
pc|c2|pc|cT|pc|cA|pc|c7|pg||
pc|dJ|pc|h5|pc|c3|pc|d3|pg||
pc|dK|pc|h6|pc|s2|pc|d4|pg||
pc|s9|pc|s7|pc|c8|pc|sT|pg||
pc|cK|pc|c4|pc|h7|pc|cJ|pg||
pc|d5|pc|h4|pc|h8|pc|h2|pg||
pc|s6|pc|hT|pc|hJ|pc|hK|pg||
pg||
qx|o2|st||md|4SK632HQ6DAQ8CJT52,SJ74HJ9873D95CAK8,SQT95HK4DJ64CQ764,SA8HAT52DKT732C93|sv|n|nt|TopWizard:  S must have taken the last two tricks|pg||
mb|1D|mb|p|mb|1H|mb|p|mb|2H|mb|p|mb|2S|mb|p|mb|3D|mb|p|nt|TopWizard:  W might have passed the 2@h raise|pg||
mb|3H|mb|p|nt|TopWizard:  9 HCP with no feature, and possibly wasted @sJ NV|pg||
mb|p|mb|p|pc|c4|nt|TopWizard:  3NT bid from West at other table on Board 1, so couldn't make|pg||
pc|c3|pc|cT|pc|cA|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  We can see that 9 tricks exactly will probably be made, losing a spade, trump and two @d's|pg||
pc|d5|pc|d4|pc|dK|pc|dA|pg||
pc|c2|pc|cK|pc|c6|pc|c9|pg||
nt|kit: hi everybody|pg||
pc|d9|pc|d6|pc|d2|pc|dQ|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  Hello Kit|pg||
nt|pelu:  some very strong teams under average efter 4 matches: Nickell (62), Bridge-24 (73) Italy (78). Hauge (100) out of 123|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  BBO gets the 2nd, 4th and 6th matches, no matter who is playing|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  Fleischer also struggling|pg||
nt|pelu:  Gary do u know how many teams to Semifinal A?|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  27 from A, 5 from B|pg||
pc|c5|pc|c8|pc|cQ|nt|TopWizard:  This format allows any team to rise up from the depths and still qualify for the KO round, which is seeded|pg||
pc|h2|pg||
pc|d3|pc|d8|pc|h7|pc|dJ|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  I'm told Monaco is way behind Fleischer :)|pg||
pc|hJ|pc|hK|pc|hA|pc|h6|pg||
pc|h5|pc|hQ|pc|h8|pc|h4|pg||
nt|pelu:  Mona co is 41|pg||
mc|10|nt|TopWizard:  But all named teams are very likely to be in the Round of 32 when the dust settles :)|pg||
pg||
qx|c2|st||md|4SK632HQ6DAQ8CJT52,SJ74HJ9873D95CAK8,SQT95HK4DJ64CQ764,SA8HAT52DKT732C93|sv|n|mb|1D|mb|p|mb|1H|mb|p|mb|2H|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|pc|sT|pc|s8|pc|sK|pc|s4|pg||
pc|cJ|pc|cA|pc|c4|pc|c3|pg||
pc|d5|pc|d6|pc|dK|pc|dA|pg||
pc|c2|pc|cK|pc|c6|pc|c9|pg||
pc|d9|pc|d4|pc|d2|pc|dQ|pg||
pc|s2|pc|s7|pc|s5|pc|sA|pg||
pc|hA|pc|h6|pc|h3|pc|h4|pg||
pc|d3|pc|d8|pc|h7|pc|dJ|pg||
pc|h8|pc|hK|pc|h2|pc|hQ|pg||
mc|9|pg||
qx|o3|st||md|1SKQ43HATDK53CJ962,SAJT72H82DJ76CA75,S5HKJ765DQT4CKQ83,S986HQ943DA982CT4|sv|e|nt|pelu:  and Fleicher 24 - but remember this is only qual for Semi|pg||
mb|1C!|mb|1S|mb|2H|mb|2S|mb|p|mb|p|nt|kit: 3NT destined to go down on spade lead it looks like |pg||
mb|3C|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|nt|kit: Nice stop|pg||
pc|d7|nt|pelu:  help out there: how many teams go to Semifinal A?? - and is there a carryover?|pg||
nt|kit: This contract will have no problems|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  S was not impressed with only 1 @s stopper|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  How does 4@h do Kit?|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  I guess 4 losers|pg||
nt|kit: Well, I see 3 aces and a trump trick to lose|pg||
nt|kit: at least|pg||
nt|pelu:  I am told that 64 teams to Semifinal A so lot of time to catch up|pg||
nt|pelu:  tx friends out there|pg||
nt|kit: If declarer thinks East has AJ9 of diamonds, he may make the "expert" play of the queen which won't work well|pg||
nt|kit: But he has enough strength to survive that|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  It is not known how many of 123 teams will be in A and B Semi-Final Swiss tomorrow|pg||
nt|pelu:  look 3 lines up: 64 go to A-semifinal|pg||
pc|dQ|pc|dA|nt|kit: and there it is|pg||
pc|d5|pg||
pc|d2|nt|pelu:  always look up, Gary :)|pg||
pc|d3|pc|dJ|pc|d4|pg||
nt|kit: Now if the defense leads trumps, this contract could go down|pg||
pc|c5|pc|c3|pc|cT|nt|pelu:  @D7 promise 1 higher card - so odds 2-1 to play @dQ|pg||
pc|cJ|pg||
nt|kit: Now declarer can't ruff 2 spades in dummy, and can't ruff 2 hearts in hand|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  The 2nd best @d lead caught South . . . might have been lower if low from a doubleton|pg||
pc|sK|pc|sA|pc|s5|nt|kit: so it looks like he will have to play East for the queen of hearts to make|pg||
pc|s9|pg||
pc|cA|pc|c8|pc|c4|pc|c2|pg||
pc|c7|pc|cQ|pc|d9|pc|c6|pg||
nt|kit: Which will be percentage, with Wes known to have 3 clubs, 5 spades, 3 diamonds|pg||
nt|pelu:  and that uis with odds - E prob 4 card @h|pg||
nt|kit: But he has to lead a heart to the 10 right now to make|pg||
nt|pelu:  3-4-4-2 distribution known|pg||
nt|kit: West doesn't need the queen of hearts for his overcall, so no inference there|pg||
pc|h5|pc|h4|pc|hT|pc|h2|pg||
nt|kit: Nice recovery!|pg||
mc|9|pg||
qx|c3|st||md|1SKQ43HATDK53CJ962,SAJT72H82DJ76CA75,S5HKJ765DQT4CKQ83,S986HQ943DA982CT4|sv|e|mb|1C|mb|1S|mb|d|mb|2S|mb|p|mb|p|mb|d|mb|p|mb|2N|mb|p|mb|3H|mb|p|mb|4H|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|pc|s9|pc|sK|pc|sA|pc|s5|pg||
pc|c5|pc|c3|pc|c4|pc|c6|pg||
pc|hA|pc|h2|pc|h5|pc|h3|pg||
pc|hT|pc|h8|pc|hJ|pc|hQ|pg||
pc|cT|pc|c2|pc|cA|pc|c8|pg||
pc|c7|pc|cQ|pc|h4|pc|c9|pg||
pc|dA|pc|d3|pc|d7|pc|d4|pg||
pc|d2|pc|d5|pc|dJ|pc|dQ|pg||
mc|8|pg||
qx|o4|st||md|2SK4HJT9DAKJ6CAKJT,SJ73HA642DQ7C6532,SAT986H53D8543C84,SQ52HKQ87DT92CQ97|sv|b|nt|pelu:  he played both suits with odds nice play|pg||
mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|mb|2N|nt|kit: It would not be a surprise to see N-S get to 3NT here|pg||
mb|p|mb|3H|mb|p|mb|3S|mb|p|mb|3N|nt|TopWizard:  Yes, expert plays and odds-on plays don't work 100%, but they work in the long run . . . S made each right play, and the last one succeeded|pg||
mb|p|nt|kit: A terrible contract, but it has one good feature -- it makes on the lie of the cards|pg||
mb|p|mb|p|nt|TopWizard:  Kit, would you pass 3@s in N?|pg||
pc|h4|pc|h3|pc|hQ|pc|h9|pg||
pc|h7|pc|hT|pc|hA|pc|h5|pg||
pc|h6|nt|kit: But declarer may lead spade to ace and take diamond finesse, hoping to use fourth round of diamonds for club finesse|pg||
pc|s6|pc|hK|pc|hJ|pg||
pc|h8|nt|kit: Key discard coming up from declarer here|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  That seems odd-on, better than @cQxx onside|pg||
nt|pelu:  how to play - u have 8 @ds so with only 1 entry in Dumme u could topplay @ds and the finess in @c|pg||
nt|kit: I do believe spade to ace and diamond to jack is percentage play, but it fails this time|pg||
pc|cJ|pc|h2|pc|s8|pg||
pc|d2|nt|kit: of course, the diamond shift is interesting for declarer|pg||
nt|kit: That may tip him off to the winning line|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  Odds say to finesse of course . . . but . . . |pg||
nt|kit: East probably should have shifted to one of the black suits|pg||
nt|kit: Declarer did discard jack of clubs, which means he must be looking for diamonds for source of tricks|pg||
nt|kit: I'm betting now declarer gets it right|pg||
pc|dJ|pc|dQ|pc|d3|pg||
nt|pelu:  decl need @cQ in East - |pg||
nt|kit: and I lose|pg||
pc|sJ|pc|s9|pc|s5|pc|sK|pg||
pc|dA|pc|d7|pc|d4|pc|d9|pg||
pc|dK|pc|c2|pc|d5|pc|dT|pg||
pc|cA|pc|c3|pc|c4|nt|pelu:  and a show up squeeze for down 1|pg||
pc|c7|pg||
pc|d6|pc|s3|pc|d8|nt|kit: right -- q of clubs had to be on in all variations|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  China Orange has taken a slight lead over Joel of the USA in the Women's, which has 22 teams entered|pg||
pc|s2|pg||
pc|sA|pc|sQ|pc|s4|pc|s7|pg||
mc|8|nt|kit: And with the queen of diamonds, East likely would have stayed away from diamonds|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  Sorry, 24 teams :)|pg||
nt|pelu:  in women they play total round robin - 21 matches and 8 best for KO - same in senior (24 teams)|pg||
pg||
qx|c4|st||md|2SK4HJT9DAKJ6CAKJT,SJ73HA642DQ7C6532,SAT986H53D8543C84,SQ52HKQ87DT92CQ97|sv|b|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|mb|1C|mb|p|mb|1D|mb|p|mb|1N|mb|p|mb|2H|mb|p|mb|2S|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|pc|c3|pc|c4|pc|cQ|pc|cA|pg||
pc|s4|pc|s7|pc|sA|pc|s5|pg||
pc|s6|pc|s2|pc|sK|pc|s3|pg||
pc|cK|pc|c2|pc|c8|pc|c9|pg||
pc|cJ|pc|c5|pc|h3|pc|c7|pg||
pc|cT|pc|c6|pc|h5|pc|h7|pg||
pc|h9|pc|h2|pc|s8|pc|h8|pg||
pc|d3|pc|dT|pc|dA|pc|d7|pg||
pc|hT|pc|h4|pc|s9|pc|hQ|pg||
pc|d4|pc|d2|pc|dK|pc|dQ|pg||
pc|hJ|pc|h6|pc|sT|pc|hK|pg||
mc|11|pg||
qx|o5|st||md|3ST3HAKJ865DAKJC82,SK72H42DT7654CAKJ,SQ865HQTD92CQT654,SAJ94H973DQ83C973|sv|n|mb|p|mb|p|mb|1H|nt|TopWizard:  Kit would you have passed 3@s in North the last hand?|pg||
mb|p|mb|1S|mb|p|nt|kit: definitely not -- that is shooting for way to thin a target|pg||
nt|pelu:  sorry now up to 26 yeams in women - only 22 ysterday :(:(|pg||
mb|3H|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|pc|cA|nt|kit: it is right only if exactly 9 tricks in spades, not 9 in notrump, and you are laying the 10 to 6 imp odds vulnerable|pg||
pc|c4|pc|c9|pc|c2|pg||
pc|h4|pc|hQ|pc|h9|pc|h5|pg||
pc|d2|nt|kit: Good stop here, as 9 tricks the limit.  Nothing to the play with diamond ruff in dummy|pg||
pc|d3|pc|dA|pc|d5|pg||
pc|dK|pc|d4|pc|d9|nt|TopWizard:  However, NT goes down more than 1 sometimes, and @s's probably doesn't|pg||
pc|d8|pg||
pc|dJ|pc|d6|pc|hT|pc|dQ|pg||
mc|9|nt|kit: that is a relatively minor consideration|pg||
pg||
qx|c5|st||md|3ST3HAKJ865DAKJC82,SK72H42DT7654CAKJ,SQ865HQTD92CQT654,SAJ94H973DQ83C973|sv|n|mb|p|mb|p|mb|1H|mb|p|mb|1S|mb|p|mb|3H|mb|p|mb|4H|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|pc|cA|pc|c4|pc|c9|pc|c8|pg||
pc|h4|pc|hT|pc|h9|pc|hA|pg||
pc|c2|pc|cK|pc|c5|pc|c7|pg||
pc|s2|pc|s5|pc|sA|pc|sT|pg||
pc|h3|pc|h5|pc|h2|pc|hQ|pg||
pc|cQ|pc|c3|pc|s3|pc|cJ|pg||
pc|d2|pc|d3|pc|dJ|pc|d4|pg||
mc|10|pg||
qx|o6|st||md|4S83HK964DT652C753,SJ4HA753DK8CAK842,SKT9652HJT82D43CJ,SAQ7HQDAQJ97CQT96|sv|e|nt|pelu:  2 x EW missed to take 4 toptricks in black :)|pg||
mb|1D|mb|p|nt|TopWizard:  S had the full 20 working HCP's|pg||
mb|2C|mb|p|mb|3C|nt|pelu:  just cost 16 IMP :)|pg||
mb|p|mb|3H|mb|p|nt|kit: Nice grand slam here - might not be so easy to bid|pg||
mb|3S|mb|p|nt|TopWizard:  Too bad E couldn't splinter in @h's|pg||
mb|4C|mb|p|mb|4D|nt|kit: Perhaps East should have splintered -- then West would know of the great fit|pg||
mb|p|nt|kit: why couldn't he spllinter?|pg||
mb|4H|mb|p|nt|TopWizard:  Maybe not in his system, presume he would have if he could|pg||
nt|kit: If East can bid RKC and locate 3 keycards and the king of diamonds he can bid the grand|pg||
mb|4S|mb|p|nt|kit: But I don't know if all these Q-bids will do the trick|pg||
mb|4N|mb|p|nt|kit: The big key is the running diamond suit|pg||
mb|5S|mb|p|nt|kit: West doesn't know that source of tricks is there|pg||
mb|6C|mb|p|mb|p|nt|pelu:  and west never cue @dK|pg||
nt|kit: Which is why it had to be East, not West, who took control|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  E never q'ed @h's|pg||
mb|p|nt|kit: The hand with the sourse of tricks should be the RKC bidder|pg||
nt|kit: Not the hand with the "aces and spaces" such as West has|pg||
nt|pelu:  EW is one of Polands very strong pairs - but I am nor impressed of their bidding on this board|pg||
pc|sT|nt|TopWizard:  E should probably have bid 4NT over 4@c . . . then discovered all working cards in West|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  Thanks, Kit, excellent principle|pg||
pc|sA|pc|s3|pc|s4|pg||
pc|c6|pc|c3|pc|cA|pc|cJ|pg||
nt|kit: Grand was reached at other table|pg||
pc|c2|pc|s5|pc|cQ|pc|c5|pg||
pc|c9|pc|c7|pc|c4|pc|s2|pg||
pc|d7|pc|d2|pc|dK|pc|d3|pg||
pc|d8|pc|d4|pc|dA|pc|d5|pg||
mc|12|nt|TopWizard:  So S. Africa gets a reprieve|pg||
pg||
qx|c6|st||md|4S83HK964DT652C753,SJ4HA753DK8CAK842,SKT9652HJT82D43CJ,SAQ7HQDAQJ97CQT96|sv|e|mb|1D|mb|p|mb|2C|mb|2S|mb|4C|mb|p|mb|4H|mb|p|mb|4N|mb|p|mb|5D|mb|p|mb|7C|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|pc|hJ|pc|hQ|pc|hK|pc|hA|pg||
pc|cA|pc|cJ|pc|c6|pc|c5|pg||
pc|c2|pc|s2|pc|c9|pc|c3|pg||
mc|13|pg||
qx|o7|st||md|1ST8754H92D986CQ96,S3HJ74DKJ73CAT872,SAQJ2HAKT3DAQ2CK5,SK96HQ865DT54CJ43|sv|b|mb|p|mb|p|nt|pelu:  strange results at table 6: 3NT 13 tricks and 7@s D down 2000|pg||
mb|2C!|mb|p|mb|2D!|mb|p|mb|2N|mb|p|nt|pelu:  but down 2000 sh gain 4 IMP - and cost -15 :(:(|pg||
nt|kit: This should be a very flat 4@S|pg||
mb|3H!|mb|p|nt|TopWizard:  Running Scores (if working!): http://www.worldbridge.org/repository/tourn/sanya.14/microsite/RunningScores/Asp/RoundTeamsConditStatClassicMod.asp?qtournid=1031&qshowflag=1|pg||
mb|3S|mb|p|nt|kit: If South transfers, North will bid game at least -- he should probably Q-bid just in case South has slam interest|pg||
nt|kit: Unless 3@S is forcing, I don't like this call|pg||
mb|p|mb|p|nt|kit: If they play it forcing, it is okay|pg||
nt|kit: But apparently not|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  Agree, 4@s should be bid absolutely|pg||
pc|h5|nt|kit: Awful to miss a routine game such as this|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  By North, with primes|pg||
pc|h2|pc|hJ|pc|hA|pg||
nt|kit: I don't know if there was a mis-understanding about whether 3@S was forcing, or if North just made a bad bid.|pg||
pc|sA|pc|s6|pc|s4|pc|s3|pg||
pc|sQ|pc|sK|pc|s5|pc|h7|pg||
nt|pelu:  how good is 4@S?|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  Old fashioned, Kit, when 4@s has play opposite 5 little, then it was always considered mandatory to jump to 4@s|pg||
pc|s9|pc|sT|pc|c7|pc|s2|pg||
pc|h9|pc|h4|pc|hK|pc|h6|pg||
nt|kit: They stopped in 2NT in other room, so won't be much of a swing|pg||
nt|pelu:  why @HK? let @h9 run and disc 2 x @d???|pg||
nt|TopWizard:  To clarify: N usually should jump to 4@s opposite the X-fer|pg||
mc|10|pg||
qx|c7|st||md|1ST8754H92D986CQ96,S3HJ74DKJ73CAT872,SAQJ2HAKT3DAQ2CK5,SK96HQ865DT54CJ43|sv|b|mb|p|mb|p|mb|1C|mb|p|mb|1D|mb|p|mb|2N|mb|p|mb|p|mb|p|pc|h5|pc|h2|pc|hJ|pc|hK|pg||
pc|sA|pc|s6|pc|s4|pc|s3|pg||
pc|sQ|pc|s9|pc|s5|pc|c7|pg||
pc|sJ|pc|sK|pc|s7|pc|d3|pg||
pc|d4|pc|d6|pc|dK|pc|dA|pg||
pc|h3|pc|hQ|pc|h9|pc|h4|pg||
pc|d5|pc|d8|pc|dJ|pc|d2|pg||
pc|d7|pc|dQ|pc|dT|pc|d9|pg||
pc|hA|pc|h8|pc|c6|pc|h7|pg||
pc|hT|pc|h6|pc|c9|pc|c2|pg||
pc|s2|pc|c3|pc|sT|pc|c8|pg||
pc|s8|pc|cT|pc|c5|pc|c4|pg||
pc|cQ|pc|cA|pc|cK|pc|cJ|pg||
pg||
